Stocks were mixed this week: S&P 500 closing at 6,740.02 (-1.24%), Nasdaq closing at 22,387.68 (+0.29%), Dow Jones closing at 47,501.55 (-2.65%), Russell 2000 closing at 2,525.30 (-3.20%). Tech was the standout, with the Nasdaq outperforming the S&P 500 by 1.5 percentage points.
The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 13 bps to 4.13% — rising yields signal the bond market is pricing out rate cuts, which puts pressure on rate-sensitive growth stocks and long-duration bonds. Gold fell 3.75% to $5,146.10. The drop — unusual during an equity selloff — points to dollar strength as the dominant force rather than a flight to safety. The dollar strengthened +1.19% (DXY: 98.98), a headwind for multinational earnings and international ETF holders.
The economic calendar was quiet this week, with no major data surprises to shift the macro narrative.
Next week's calendar is light — a good time to review positions and rebalance rather than react to noise.
This week's decline was narrow, not broad. The S&P 500 slipped 1.2%, but markets weren't in full retreat — some areas held up. This looks more like rotation than a broad risk-off move. The dollar also strengthened +1.2% — a quiet headwind if you hold international ETFs, as foreign gains get partially erased when converted back to USD.
Bond yields climbed 13 bps to 4.13% over the week, making it harder to justify equity valuations — particularly in growth and small caps. Worth noting: gold fell 3.75% despite the equity selloff — a sign the dollar's strength is the dominant force, not a simple flight to safety.
📈 Large Cap
📊 Broad Market
🏦 Fixed Income
| Index | Close | Weekly % | Week Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Y Treasury | 4.13 | +13 bps | 4.00 – 4.19 |
| USD Index | 98.98 | +1.19% | 97.71 – 99.65 |
| Nasdaq | 22,387.68 | +0.29% | 22,124.78 – 22,891.88 |
| S&P 500 | 6,740.02 | -1.24% | 6,710.42 – 6,901.01 |
| Dow Jones | 47,501.55 | -2.65% | 47,009.01 – 49,064.67 |
| Russell 2000 | 2,525.30 | -3.20% | 2,518.31 – 2,658.62 |
| Gold | 5,146.10 | -3.75% | 5,023.00 – 5,405.00 |
| Date | Event | Actual | Expected | Previous | Surprise |
|---|
| Date | Event | Importance |
|---|
| Signal | Suggested Action |
|---|---|
| USD Index strengthened +1.19% this week | A stronger dollar weighs on multinational earnings and commodities. Consider reducing exposure to export-heavy sectors and commodity ETFs (GLD, DJP). |